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Sunday 23 April 2017, 19:00 Apostolos Nikolaidis Full time
67% 23% 10%
Home win
66.8%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
10.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 66.8% 1.50
Draw 22.8% 4.38
Atromitos 10.4% 9.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.95
Over 1.5 68.8% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.3% 3.20
Over 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.2% 4.72
Under 3.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.0% 11.06
Under 4.5 91.0% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.3% 2.75
No 63.7% 1.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 89.6% 1.12
Panathinaikos / Atromitos 77.2% 1.30
Draw / Atromitos 33.2% 3.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
4.7
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
16.5
10.1
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.3
8.6
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
9.2
5.1
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
4.1
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.