Sunday 30 April 2017, 19:00
Apostolos Nikolaidis
Full time
79%
16%
6%
Home win
78.6%
Draw
15.8%
Away win
5.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.8% | 6.32 | — | — |
| Larisa | 5.5% | 18.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.9% | 6.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
| No | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos / Draw | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos / Larisa | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Larisa | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.9
|
7.1
|
1.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.6
|
7.8
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.7
|
6.0
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.3
|
3.5
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Panathinaikos
1-1
Larisa
Dec 2025
Larisa
2-2
Panathinaikos
Jan 2021
Panathinaikos
2-0
Larisa
Sep 2020
Larisa
1-1
Panathinaikos
Jan 2020
Larisa
0-2
Panathinaikos
Oct 2019
Panathinaikos
1-2
Larisa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.