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Saturday 15 September 2018, 20:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
63% 27% 10%
Home win
63.3%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
10.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 63.3% 1.58
Draw 26.6% 3.76
Panionios 10.1% 9.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.2% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.8% 6.74
Over 1.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 2.5 30.9% 3.23
Under 2.5 69.1% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.4% 7.49
Under 3.5 86.6% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.8% 20.81
Under 4.5 95.2% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 28.4% 3.52
No 71.6% 1.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 89.9% 1.11
AEK Athens FC / Panionios 73.4% 1.36
Draw / Panionios 36.7% 2.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.8
5.7
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
20.9
10.1
2.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.2
7.1
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
8.1
3.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
3.0
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.