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Wednesday 31 May 2017, 20:30 Nea Smyrni Stadium Full time
30% 34% 36%
Home win
30.0%
Draw
34.5%
Away win
35.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 30.0% 3.33
Draw 34.5% 2.90
AEK Athens FC 35.5% 2.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.6% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.4% 5.75
Over 1.5 54.4% 1.84
Under 1.5 45.6% 2.19
Over 2.5 26.8% 3.73
Under 2.5 73.2% 1.37
Over 3.5 10.8% 9.26
Under 3.5 89.2% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.6% 27.72
Under 4.5 96.4% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.8% 2.79
No 64.2% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 64.5% 1.55
Panionios / AEK Athens FC 65.5% 1.53
Draw / AEK Athens FC 70.0% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.4
14.9
7.5
2.4
0.6
0.1
1
13.3
14.1
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
6.0
5.7
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
1.7
1.6
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.