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Wednesday 24 May 2017, 20:30 Apostolos Nikolaidis Full time
46% 30% 23%
Home win
46.3%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
23.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 46.3% 2.16
Draw 30.2% 3.31
AEK Athens FC 23.4% 4.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.6% 7.91
Over 1.5 63.6% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.4% 2.75
Over 2.5 35.9% 2.79
Under 2.5 64.1% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.7% 5.97
Under 3.5 83.3% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.31
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.0% 2.38
No 58.0% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 76.6% 1.31
Panathinaikos / AEK Athens FC 69.8% 1.43
Draw / AEK Athens FC 53.7% 1.86

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.6
9.2
4.2
1.2
0.2
0.0
1
14.6
13.6
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
9.9
8.3
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.3
3.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.