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Wednesday 17 May 2017, 20:30 Apostolos Nikolaidis Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
51% 28% 21%
Home win
51.4%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
20.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 51.4% 1.94
Draw 27.8% 3.59
PAOK 20.7% 4.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.54
Over 1.5 68.3% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.7% 3.15
Over 2.5 41.1% 2.43
Under 2.5 58.9% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.6% 4.85
Under 3.5 79.4% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.7% 11.49
Under 4.5 91.3% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.8% 2.23
No 55.2% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 79.3% 1.26
Panathinaikos / PAOK 72.2% 1.39
Draw / PAOK 48.6% 2.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
7.5
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
13.7
13.0
5.2
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.7
9.1
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
5.3
4.5
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.