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Sunday 21 May 2017, 20:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
48% 30% 22%
Home win
48.0%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
22.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 48.0% 2.08
Draw 29.8% 3.36
Panathinaikos 22.2% 4.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 8.02
Over 1.5 64.0% 1.56
Under 1.5 36.0% 2.77
Over 2.5 36.3% 2.76
Under 2.5 63.7% 1.57
Over 3.5 17.0% 5.88
Under 3.5 83.0% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.7% 14.99
Under 4.5 93.3% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.8% 2.39
No 58.2% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 77.8% 1.29
AEK Athens FC / Panathinaikos 70.2% 1.42
Draw / Panathinaikos 52.0% 1.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
8.8
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
14.8
13.5
5.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
10.3
8.4
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
4.6
3.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.5
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.