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Saturday 1 September 2018, 21:30 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium Full time
24% 32% 43%
Home win
24.3%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
43.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 24.3% 4.12
Draw 32.3% 3.09
AEK Athens FC 43.4% 2.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.7% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.3% 6.55
Over 1.5 58.3% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.7% 2.40
Over 2.5 30.5% 3.28
Under 2.5 69.5% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.1% 7.64
Under 3.5 86.9% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.7% 21.38
Under 4.5 95.3% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.9% 2.64
No 62.1% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 56.6% 1.77
Asteras Tripolis / AEK Athens FC 67.7% 1.48
Draw / AEK Athens FC 75.7% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.3
15.8
9.5
3.6
1.0
0.2
1
10.6
13.8
7.5
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
4.5
5.1
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
1.2
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.