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Saturday 25 August 2018, 19:15 Toumba Stadium Full time
70% 20% 10%
Home win
70.3%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
9.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 70.3% 1.42
Draw 20.1% 4.98
Asteras Tripolis 9.6% 10.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.30
Over 1.5 75.0% 1.33
Under 1.5 25.0% 3.99
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.7% 3.61
Under 3.5 72.3% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.61
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.7% 2.46
No 59.3% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 90.4% 1.11
PAOK / Asteras Tripolis 79.9% 1.25
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 29.7% 3.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
3.8
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
13.7
9.4
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.6
9.0
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
9.9
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.1
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.