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Sunday 22 April 2018, 19:00 Stadio Toumbas (Thessaloníki) Full time
2–1
HT 0–1
67% 23% 11%
Home win
66.7%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
10.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 66.7% 1.50
Draw 22.7% 4.40
Xanthi FC 10.6% 9.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.27
Over 1.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 2.5 42.8% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.56
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.5% 10.56
Under 4.5 90.5% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.3% 2.68
No 62.7% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 89.4% 1.12
PAOK / Xanthi FC 77.3% 1.29
Draw / Xanthi FC 33.3% 3.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
4.7
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
16.0
10.2
2.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.1
8.7
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
9.1
5.3
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
4.1
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.