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Sunday 11 March 2018, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas (Thessaloníki) Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
41% 31% 27%
Home win
41.5%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
27.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 41.5% 2.41
Draw 31.2% 3.21
AEK Athens FC 27.4% 3.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.1% 7.64
Over 1.5 62.7% 1.59
Under 1.5 37.3% 2.68
Over 2.5 34.9% 2.86
Under 2.5 65.1% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.1% 6.22
Under 3.5 83.9% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.2% 16.19
Under 4.5 93.8% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.3% 2.36
No 57.7% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 72.6% 1.38
PAOK / AEK Athens FC 68.8% 1.45
Draw / AEK Athens FC 58.5% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.1
10.4
5.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
13.8
14.1
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.6
7.9
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
3.4
3.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.