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Sunday 18 February 2018, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis (Athína (Athens)) Full time
67% 23% 10%
Home win
66.8%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
9.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 66.8% 1.50
Draw 23.5% 4.26
Xanthi FC 9.7% 10.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.83
Over 1.5 65.8% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.2% 2.93
Over 2.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 2.5 61.5% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.6% 5.36
Under 3.5 81.4% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.20
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.1% 3.02
No 66.9% 1.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 90.3% 1.11
AEK Athens FC / Xanthi FC 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Xanthi FC 33.2% 3.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
4.9
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
18.0
9.9
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
16.0
8.1
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
9.2
4.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
4.0
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.