Monday 12 February 2018, 19:30
Stadio Toumbas (Thessaloníki)
Full time
78%
16%
5%
Home win
78.3%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
5.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.3% | 6.15 | — | — |
| Larisa | 5.4% | 18.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.5% | 7.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32.3% | 3.09 | — | — |
| No | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK / Draw | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| PAOK / Larisa | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Larisa | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.9
|
7.2
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
17.2
|
7.6
|
1.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.8
|
5.7
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.2
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Larisa
1-1
PAOK
Aug 2025
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
Jan 2021
Larisa
1-1
PAOK
Sep 2020
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
Feb 2020
Larisa
1-2
PAOK
Nov 2019
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.