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Saturday 16 February 2019, 19:00 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
59% 26% 15%
Home win
58.5%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
15.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 58.5% 1.71
Draw 26.2% 3.82
Asteras Tripolis 15.3% 6.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.26
Over 1.5 67.4% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.6% 3.06
Over 2.5 40.1% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.03
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.11
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.5% 2.47
No 59.5% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 84.7% 1.18
Panathinaikos / Asteras Tripolis 73.8% 1.35
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 41.5% 2.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
6.3
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
15.5
11.9
3.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.9
8.9
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
6.9
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.8
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.