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Monday 11 February 2019, 19:30 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium Full time
47% 30% 24%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
23.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 46.5% 2.15
Draw 29.9% 3.34
Aris Thessalonikis 23.6% 4.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.19
Over 1.5 64.5% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.5% 2.82
Over 2.5 36.9% 2.71
Under 2.5 63.1% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.4% 5.74
Under 3.5 82.6% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.49
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.8% 2.34
No 57.2% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 76.4% 1.31
Asteras Tripolis / Aris Thessalonikis 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 53.5% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
9.0
4.2
1.2
0.3
0.0
1
14.3
13.6
5.5
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
9.9
8.4
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.3
3.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.