Monday 11 February 2019, 19:30
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Full time
47%
30%
24%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
23.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.2% | 8.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.9% | 14.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis / Draw | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis / Aris Thessalonikis | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.2
|
9.0
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.3
|
13.6
|
5.5
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
8.4
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2025
Asteras Tripolis
0-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Nov 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
0-0
Asteras Tripolis
May 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
4-2
Asteras Tripolis
Mar 2025
Asteras Tripolis
0-2
Aris Thessalonikis
Dec 2024
Asteras Tripolis
2-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Aug 2024
Aris Thessalonikis
1-1
Asteras Tripolis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.