Sunday 20 January 2019, 17:15
AEL FC Arena
Full time
35%
30%
34%
Home win
35.3%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
34.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.2% | 8.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.9% | 12.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa / Draw | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Larisa / Aris Thessalonikis | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.2
|
10.9
|
6.6
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.1
|
14.1
|
7.5
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
7.6
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
2.9
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Larisa
1-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Nov 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
2-1
Larisa
Jan 2021
Aris Thessalonikis
1-0
Larisa
Dec 2020
Larisa
0-3
Aris Thessalonikis
Jan 2020
Larisa
0-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Sep 2019
Aris Thessalonikis
2-3
Larisa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.