Skip to content
Monday 14 January 2019, 19:00 Kleanthis Vikelides Full time
60% 26% 14%
Home win
60.1%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
14.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 60.1% 1.66
Draw 25.8% 3.87
Lamia 14.1% 7.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.9% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.1% 9.03
Over 1.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.3% 3.00
Over 2.5 39.4% 2.54
Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.3% 5.19
Under 3.5 80.7% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.62
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.9% 2.57
No 61.1% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 85.9% 1.16
Aris Thessalonikis / Lamia 74.2% 1.35
Draw / Lamia 39.9% 2.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.1
6.1
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
16.2
11.6
3.5
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.6
8.8
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
7.3
4.7
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.9
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Lamia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.