Monday 12 November 2018, 19:00
Georgios Kamaras Stadium
Full time
26%
35%
39%
Home win
26.0%
Draw
35.3%
Away win
38.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis | 26.0% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 9.3% | 10.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.9% | 34.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| No | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis / Draw | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Apollon Smirnis / Aris Thessalonikis | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
19.1
|
16.9
|
8.5
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.7
|
13.7
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
4.8
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Apollon Smirnis
0-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Oct 2021
Aris Thessalonikis
0-0
Apollon Smirnis
Jan 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Oct 2020
Aris Thessalonikis
1-0
Apollon Smirnis
Mar 2019
Aris Thessalonikis
5-0
Apollon Smirnis
Jan 2014
Aris Thessalonikis
0-2
Apollon Smirnis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.