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Monday 29 October 2018, 19:30 Georgios Karaiskakis Full time
85% 12% 3%
Home win
84.6%
Draw
12.1%
Away win
3.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 84.6% 1.18
Draw 12.1% 8.28
Apollon Smirnis 3.4% 29.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.83
Over 1.5 80.3% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.7% 5.07
Over 2.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 2.5 42.5% 2.36
Over 3.5 35.1% 2.85
Under 3.5 64.9% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.4% 5.45
Under 4.5 81.6% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.0% 3.34
No 70.0% 1.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 96.6% 1.03
Olympiakos Piraeus / Apollon Smirnis 87.9% 1.14
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 15.4% 6.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
1.6
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
12.8
5.3
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
17.0
6.6
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
14.8
5.7
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
9.7
3.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
5.0
1.9
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.