Saturday 22 September 2018, 18:15
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Full time
60%
26%
13%
Home win
60.1%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
13.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Apollon Smirnis | 13.4% | 7.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.3% | 8.15 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.1% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.7% | 14.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| No | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis / Draw | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis / Apollon Smirnis | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Apollon Smirnis | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.3
|
6.3
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.4
|
11.4
|
3.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.1
|
8.4
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Asteras Tripolis
2-2
Apollon Smirnis
Jan 2022
Asteras Tripolis
1-0
Apollon Smirnis
Oct 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
Jan 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
Nov 2020
Asteras Tripolis
0-0
Apollon Smirnis
Feb 2019
Apollon Smirnis
0-2
Asteras Tripolis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.