Sunday 30 September 2018, 16:00
Georgios Kamaras Stadium
Full time
30%
36%
34%
Home win
29.8%
Draw
35.9%
Away win
34.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Panionios | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 8.9% | 11.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.8% | 35.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| No | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis / Draw | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Apollon Smirnis / Panionios | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw / Panionios | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
19.5
|
15.7
|
7.2
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
13.9
|
5.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Panionios
0-1
Apollon Smirnis
Jan 2018
Apollon Smirnis
1-1
Panionios
Aug 2017
Panionios
2-0
Apollon Smirnis
Feb 2014
Apollon Smirnis
1-2
Panionios
Oct 2013
Panionios
2-1
Apollon Smirnis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.