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Sunday 30 September 2018, 19:00 Kleanthis Vikelides Full time
56% 28% 16%
Home win
56.3%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
15.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 56.3% 1.78
Draw 27.8% 3.59
Asteras Tripolis 15.9% 6.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 7.98
Over 1.5 63.6% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.4% 2.75
Over 2.5 36.0% 2.78
Under 2.5 64.0% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.8% 5.96
Under 3.5 83.2% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.6% 15.26
Under 4.5 93.4% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.9% 2.64
No 62.1% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 84.1% 1.19
Aris Thessalonikis / Asteras Tripolis 72.2% 1.39
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 43.7% 2.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
7.1
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
16.8
12.2
3.8
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.9
8.5
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
6.3
4.2
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.3
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.