Sunday 30 September 2018, 19:00
Kleanthis Vikelides
Full time
56%
28%
16%
Home win
56.3%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
15.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis | 15.9% | 6.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.5% | 7.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.8% | 5.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.6% | 15.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis / Draw | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis / Asteras Tripolis | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Asteras Tripolis | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.5
|
7.1
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.8
|
12.2
|
3.8
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.9
|
8.5
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2025
Asteras Tripolis
0-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Nov 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
0-0
Asteras Tripolis
May 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
4-2
Asteras Tripolis
Mar 2025
Asteras Tripolis
0-2
Aris Thessalonikis
Dec 2024
Asteras Tripolis
2-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Aug 2024
Aris Thessalonikis
1-1
Asteras Tripolis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.