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Sunday 13 April 2014, 19:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
37% 32% 30%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
30.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 37.3% 2.68
Draw 32.3% 3.10
PAS Giannina 30.4% 3.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.8% 1.16
Under 0.5 14.2% 7.06
Over 1.5 60.6% 1.65
Under 1.5 39.4% 2.54
Over 2.5 32.7% 3.06
Under 2.5 67.3% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.5% 6.88
Under 3.5 85.5% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.4% 18.57
Under 4.5 94.6% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.9% 2.44
No 59.1% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 69.6% 1.44
Aris Thessalonikis / PAS Giannina 67.7% 1.48
Draw / PAS Giannina 62.7% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.2
11.8
5.9
1.9
0.4
0.1
1
13.5
14.3
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
7.7
7.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
2.7
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.