Saturday 22 March 2014, 17:15
OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis
Full time
55%
27%
19%
Home win
54.6%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
18.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthrakikos | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 18.7% | 5.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthrakikos / Draw | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Panthrakikos / Aris Thessalonikis | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
6.8
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.8
|
12.5
|
4.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
9.2
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2013
Aris Thessalonikis
2-2
Panthrakikos
Mar 2013
Aris Thessalonikis
0-0
Panthrakikos
Nov 2012
Panthrakikos
4-0
Aris Thessalonikis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.