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Saturday 8 March 2014, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
71% 20% 9%
Home win
71.5%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
8.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 71.5% 1.40
Draw 19.9% 5.03
Aris Thessalonikis 8.6% 11.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.40
Over 1.5 73.4% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.6% 3.77
Over 2.5 47.7% 2.09
Under 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Over 3.5 26.0% 3.84
Under 3.5 74.0% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.0% 8.32
Under 4.5 88.0% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.7% 2.65
No 62.3% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 91.4% 1.09
Panathinaikos / Aris Thessalonikis 80.1% 1.25
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 28.5% 3.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
3.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
14.8
9.1
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
15.5
8.7
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.4
5.8
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
5.3
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.