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Thursday 6 February 2014, 19:30 Stadio Panetolikou Full time
57% 27% 16%
Home win
56.9%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
16.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 56.9% 1.76
Draw 27.0% 3.70
Aris Thessalonikis 16.0% 6.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.73
Over 1.5 65.9% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.1% 2.94
Over 2.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 2.5 61.5% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.6% 5.37
Under 3.5 81.4% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.22
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.9% 2.51
No 60.1% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 84.0% 1.19
Panetolikos / Aris Thessalonikis 73.0% 1.37
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 43.1% 2.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
6.8
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
15.9
12.1
4.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.7
8.8
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
6.5
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.5
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.