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Monday 13 January 2014, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
43% 27% 30%
Home win
42.9%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
29.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 42.9% 2.33
Draw 27.4% 3.65
Aris Thessalonikis 29.7% 3.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.49
Over 1.5 74.4% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.6% 3.91
Over 2.5 48.7% 2.05
Under 2.5 51.3% 1.95
Over 3.5 26.9% 3.72
Under 3.5 73.1% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.6% 7.96
Under 4.5 87.4% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.6% 1.87
No 46.4% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 70.3% 1.42
AEL Kallonis / Aris Thessalonikis 72.6% 1.38
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 57.1% 1.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
7.8
5.0
1.9
0.6
0.1
1
9.8
13.1
7.2
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.7
9.0
5.2
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
3.7
4.3
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.3
1.6
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.