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Saturday 4 January 2014, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
96% 4% 1%
Home win
95.6%
Draw
3.5%
Away win
0.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 95.6% 1.05
Draw 3.5% 28.21
AEL Kallonis 0.8% 118.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.0% 1.01
Under 0.5 1.0% 97.47
Over 1.5 94.8% 1.05
Under 1.5 5.2% 19.26
Over 2.5 84.5% 1.18
Under 2.5 15.5% 6.46
Over 3.5 68.6% 1.46
Under 3.5 31.4% 3.18
Over 4.5 50.0% 2.00
Under 4.5 50.0% 2.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.6% 3.06
No 67.4% 1.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 99.2% 1.01
Olympiakos Piraeus / AEL Kallonis 96.5% 1.04
Draw / AEL Kallonis 4.4% 22.77

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
3.9
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
8.5
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
12.2
4.9
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
13.0
5.2
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
11.2
4.5
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.