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Sunday 15 December 2013, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
8% 18% 74%
Home win
7.7%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
74.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 7.7% 12.91
Draw 17.8% 5.62
Olympiakos Piraeus 74.5% 1.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.28
Over 1.5 77.4% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.6% 4.42
Over 2.5 53.1% 1.88
Under 2.5 46.9% 2.13
Over 3.5 30.8% 3.24
Under 3.5 69.2% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.2% 6.56
Under 4.5 84.8% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.8% 2.51
No 60.2% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 25.5% 3.92
Aris Thessalonikis / Olympiakos Piraeus 82.2% 1.22
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 92.3% 1.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
13.0
15.0
11.1
6.1
2.7
1
3.1
8.3
8.7
6.4
3.6
1.6
2
1.0
2.3
2.5
1.9
1.0
0.5
3
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.