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Sunday 24 November 2013, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
71% 20% 9%
Home win
71.0%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
9.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 71.0% 1.41
Draw 19.9% 5.02
Aris Thessalonikis 9.1% 11.01

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 12.96
Over 1.5 74.4% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.6% 3.90
Over 2.5 48.9% 2.04
Under 2.5 51.1% 1.96
Over 3.5 27.1% 3.69
Under 3.5 72.9% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.7% 7.87
Under 4.5 87.3% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.3% 2.54
No 60.7% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 90.9% 1.10
PAOK / Aris Thessalonikis 80.1% 1.25
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 29.0% 3.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
3.7
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
14.2
9.2
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.0
8.9
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.2
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.2
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.