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Sunday 6 October 2013, 20:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
53% 28% 19%
Home win
52.5%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
19.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 52.5% 1.90
Draw 28.0% 3.57
Panathinaikos 19.5% 5.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.9% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.1% 8.99
Over 1.5 66.8% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.2% 3.01
Over 2.5 39.4% 2.54
Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.3% 5.17
Under 3.5 80.7% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.57
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.9% 2.33
No 57.1% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 80.5% 1.24
PAOK / Panathinaikos 72.0% 1.39
Draw / Panathinaikos 47.5% 2.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.1
7.5
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
14.6
12.9
4.8
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.2
8.9
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
5.5
4.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.