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Sunday 29 September 2013, 20:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
49% 29% 22%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
22.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 48.8% 2.05
Draw 28.7% 3.48
Asteras Tripolis 22.5% 4.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.0% 9.11
Over 1.5 67.2% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.8% 3.05
Over 2.5 39.9% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.1% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.7% 5.09
Under 3.5 80.3% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.28
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.7% 2.24
No 55.3% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 77.5% 1.29
Panathinaikos / Asteras Tripolis 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 51.2% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.0
8.2
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
13.7
13.3
5.5
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
10.2
8.8
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
4.8
4.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.