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Sunday 18 August 2013, 19:15 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
48% 30% 21%
Home win
48.3%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
21.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 48.3% 2.07
Draw 30.5% 3.28
PAS Giannina 21.2% 4.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.3% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.7% 7.32
Over 1.5 61.4% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.6% 2.59
Over 2.5 33.6% 2.97
Under 2.5 66.4% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.2% 6.60
Under 3.5 84.8% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.7% 17.53
Under 4.5 94.3% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.3% 2.55
No 60.7% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 78.8% 1.27
Asteras Tripolis / PAS Giannina 69.5% 1.44
Draw / PAS Giannina 51.7% 1.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.7
9.0
3.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
15.9
13.4
4.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
10.7
8.1
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
4.6
3.5
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.