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Sunday 19 May 2013, 18:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
57% 28% 14%
Home win
57.2%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
14.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 57.2% 1.75
Draw 28.3% 3.53
PAS Giannina 14.5% 6.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.0% 1.16
Under 0.5 14.0% 7.17
Over 1.5 60.6% 1.65
Under 1.5 39.4% 2.54
Over 2.5 32.8% 3.05
Under 2.5 67.2% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.6% 6.84
Under 3.5 85.4% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.4% 18.40
Under 4.5 94.6% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.4% 2.90
No 65.6% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 85.5% 1.17
PAOK / PAS Giannina 71.7% 1.40
Draw / PAS Giannina 42.8% 2.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.0
7.1
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
18.4
11.8
3.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
13.6
8.0
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
6.5
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.3
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.