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Saturday 6 April 2013, 17:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
64% 24% 12%
Home win
64.0%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
11.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 64.0% 1.56
Draw 24.3% 4.12
Veria 11.7% 8.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.32
Over 1.5 67.3% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.7% 3.06
Over 2.5 40.1% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.03
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.10
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.9% 2.71
No 63.1% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 88.3% 1.13
PAOK / Veria 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Veria 36.0% 2.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
5.3
1.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
16.6
10.7
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.7
8.6
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
8.3
4.9
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
3.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.