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Sunday 17 March 2013, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
47% 29% 24%
Home win
47.2%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
24.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 47.2% 2.12
Draw 28.8% 3.47
Panathinaikos 24.0% 4.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.32
Over 1.5 67.8% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.2% 3.11
Over 2.5 40.5% 2.47
Under 2.5 59.5% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.2% 4.96
Under 3.5 79.8% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.85
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.8% 2.18
No 54.2% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 76.0% 1.32
PAOK / Panathinaikos 71.2% 1.41
Draw / Panathinaikos 52.8% 1.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
8.4
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
13.1
13.5
5.8
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.6
8.8
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
4.5
4.1
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.