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Saturday 23 February 2013, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
3–1
HT 2–1
62% 24% 14%
Home win
61.9%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
14.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 61.9% 1.62
Draw 24.1% 4.16
OFI 14.1% 7.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.10
Over 1.5 71.5% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.5% 3.51
Over 2.5 45.1% 2.22
Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.8% 4.20
Under 3.5 76.2% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.6% 9.42
Under 4.5 89.4% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.0% 2.33
No 57.0% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 85.9% 1.16
Panathinaikos / OFI 75.9% 1.32
Draw / OFI 38.1% 2.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
5.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
14.1
11.2
3.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
13.0
9.3
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
7.7
5.5
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.4
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.