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Saturday 2 February 2013, 19:30 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
42% 31% 27%
Home win
42.2%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
26.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 42.2% 2.37
Draw 31.1% 3.22
Panathinaikos 26.7% 3.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.1% 7.65
Over 1.5 62.8% 1.59
Under 1.5 37.2% 2.69
Over 2.5 35.0% 2.86
Under 2.5 65.0% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.1% 6.21
Under 3.5 83.9% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.2% 16.15
Under 4.5 93.8% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 73.3% 1.36
Asteras Tripolis / Panathinaikos 68.9% 1.45
Draw / Panathinaikos 57.8% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.1
10.2
4.9
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
13.9
14.0
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.8
7.9
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
3.5
3.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.