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Monday 14 January 2013, 19:30 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
27% 32% 42%
Home win
26.9%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
41.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 26.9% 3.72
Draw 31.5% 3.17
Asteras Tripolis 41.6% 2.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.33
Over 1.5 61.6% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.4% 2.60
Over 2.5 33.7% 2.96
Under 2.5 66.3% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.2% 6.56
Under 3.5 84.8% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.39
Under 4.5 94.3% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.2% 2.43
No 58.8% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 58.4% 1.71
AOK Kerkyra / Asteras Tripolis 68.5% 1.46
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 73.1% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
14.2
8.8
3.4
1.0
0.2
1
10.6
14.1
7.8
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
5.0
5.9
3.4
1.3
0.4
0.1
3
1.5
1.7
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.