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Sunday 9 December 2012, 17:15 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
61% 25% 14%
Home win
61.1%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
13.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 61.1% 1.64
Draw 25.1% 3.98
Aris Thessalonikis 13.8% 7.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.4% 9.63
Over 1.5 68.2% 1.47
Under 1.5 31.8% 3.15
Over 2.5 41.2% 2.43
Under 2.5 58.8% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.7% 4.84
Under 3.5 79.3% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.7% 11.46
Under 4.5 91.3% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.9% 2.51
No 60.1% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 86.2% 1.16
Asteras Tripolis / Aris Thessalonikis 74.9% 1.34
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 38.9% 2.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.4
5.8
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
15.6
11.4
3.5
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.6
9.0
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
7.5
5.0
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.