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Saturday 1 December 2012, 17:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
31% 34% 34%
Home win
31.5%
Draw
34.3%
Away win
34.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 31.5% 3.18
Draw 34.3% 2.91
Atromitos 34.2% 2.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.9% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.1% 5.86
Over 1.5 55.0% 1.82
Under 1.5 45.0% 2.22
Over 2.5 27.4% 3.65
Under 2.5 72.6% 1.38
Over 3.5 11.1% 8.99
Under 3.5 88.9% 1.13
Over 4.5 3.8% 26.62
Under 4.5 96.2% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.4% 2.75
No 63.6% 1.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 65.8% 1.52
Aris Thessalonikis / Atromitos 65.7% 1.52
Draw / Atromitos 68.5% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.1
14.4
7.1
2.2
0.5
0.1
1
13.6
14.2
6.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
6.3
5.9
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
1.9
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.