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Saturday 17 November 2012, 17:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
41% 32% 27%
Home win
41.0%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
27.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 41.0% 2.44
Draw 32.0% 3.12
PAS Giannina 27.0% 3.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.7% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.3% 6.99
Over 1.5 60.3% 1.66
Under 1.5 39.7% 2.52
Over 2.5 32.4% 3.09
Under 2.5 67.6% 1.48
Over 3.5 14.3% 6.98
Under 3.5 85.7% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.3% 18.93
Under 4.5 94.7% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.1% 2.49
No 59.9% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 73.0% 1.37
Aris Thessalonikis / PAS Giannina 68.0% 1.47
Draw / PAS Giannina 59.0% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.3
10.9
5.1
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
14.5
14.1
5.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
8.7
7.5
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
3.3
2.9
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.