Sunday 21 October 2012, 20:30
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Full time
67%
23%
10%
Home win
67.1%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
9.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 9.9% | 10.12 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.45 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.4% | 11.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.7% | 2.89 | — | — |
| No | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos / Draw | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos / Aris Thessalonikis | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.2
|
10.0
|
2.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.7
|
8.3
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.3
|
4.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Panathinaikos
3-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Oct 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
1-1
Panathinaikos
Feb 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
2-0
Panathinaikos
Oct 2024
Panathinaikos
1-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Apr 2024
Panathinaikos
0-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Apr 2024
Aris Thessalonikis
0-2
Panathinaikos
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.