Sunday 16 September 2012, 20:30
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Full time
52%
30%
18%
Home win
52.1%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
17.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 17.7% | 5.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.7% | 6.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.4% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.7% | 7.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.0% | 20.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| No | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC / Draw | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| AEK Athens FC / Aris Thessalonikis | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.7
|
8.4
|
3.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.7
|
12.7
|
3.9
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.1
|
7.9
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Aris Thessalonikis
1-1
AEK Athens FC
Nov 2025
AEK Athens FC
1-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Mar 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
0-0
AEK Athens FC
Nov 2024
AEK Athens FC
4-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Apr 2024
Aris Thessalonikis
1-2
AEK Athens FC
Apr 2024
AEK Athens FC
2-0
Aris Thessalonikis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.