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Monday 27 August 2012, 20:30 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
39% 33% 27%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
33.3%
Away win
27.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 39.4% 2.54
Draw 33.3% 3.00
Aris Thessalonikis 27.3% 3.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.0% 1.19
Under 0.5 16.0% 6.23
Over 1.5 56.9% 1.76
Under 1.5 43.1% 2.32
Over 2.5 29.1% 3.43
Under 2.5 70.9% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.2% 8.19
Under 3.5 87.8% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.3% 23.49
Under 4.5 95.7% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.5% 2.67
No 62.5% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 72.7% 1.38
Panionios / Aris Thessalonikis 66.7% 1.50
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 60.6% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.0
11.8
5.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
1
15.3
14.1
5.5
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
8.4
7.0
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
3.0
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.