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Sunday 8 April 2012, 19:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
64% 24% 13%
Home win
63.8%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
12.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 63.8% 1.57
Draw 23.6% 4.24
Panionios 12.6% 7.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.74
Over 1.5 70.7% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.3% 3.41
Over 2.5 44.1% 2.27
Under 2.5 55.9% 1.79
Over 3.5 23.0% 4.34
Under 3.5 77.0% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.1% 9.88
Under 4.5 89.9% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.8% 2.45
No 59.2% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 87.4% 1.14
Panathinaikos / Panionios 76.4% 1.31
Draw / Panionios 36.2% 2.77

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
5.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
14.9
10.8
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.8
9.1
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
8.2
5.4
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.7
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.