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Saturday 10 March 2012, 17:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
47% 34% 19%
Home win
47.4%
Draw
33.9%
Away win
18.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 47.4% 2.11
Draw 33.9% 2.95
Panionios 18.7% 5.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.8% 1.24
Under 0.5 19.2% 5.22
Over 1.5 51.1% 1.96
Under 1.5 48.9% 2.04
Over 2.5 24.0% 4.17
Under 2.5 76.0% 1.32
Over 3.5 9.2% 10.91
Under 3.5 90.8% 1.10
Over 4.5 2.9% 34.53
Under 4.5 97.1% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.3% 3.30
No 69.7% 1.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 81.3% 1.23
OFI / Panionios 66.1% 1.51
Draw / Panionios 52.6% 1.90

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.2
10.1
3.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
19.7
12.7
3.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
11.2
6.6
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
4.1
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
1.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.