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Saturday 28 January 2012, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
48% 34% 18%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
33.9%
Away win
17.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 48.5% 2.06
Draw 33.9% 2.95
AOK Kerkyra 17.6% 5.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.3% 1.25
Under 0.5 19.7% 5.08
Over 1.5 50.2% 1.99
Under 1.5 49.8% 2.01
Over 2.5 23.3% 4.30
Under 2.5 76.7% 1.30
Over 3.5 8.7% 11.44
Under 3.5 91.3% 1.10
Over 4.5 2.7% 36.76
Under 4.5 97.3% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.1% 3.43
No 70.9% 1.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 82.4% 1.21
Panionios / AOK Kerkyra 66.1% 1.51
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 51.5% 1.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.7
9.8
2.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
20.4
12.3
3.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
11.7
6.4
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
4.3
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
1.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.