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Tuesday 3 January 2012, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
43% 35% 22%
Home win
42.8%
Draw
34.8%
Away win
22.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 42.8% 2.33
Draw 34.8% 2.87
Asteras Tripolis 22.4% 4.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.8% 1.24
Under 0.5 19.2% 5.21
Over 1.5 51.2% 1.95
Under 1.5 48.8% 2.05
Over 2.5 24.0% 4.16
Under 2.5 76.0% 1.32
Over 3.5 9.2% 10.88
Under 3.5 90.8% 1.10
Over 4.5 2.9% 34.41
Under 4.5 97.1% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.9% 3.14
No 68.1% 1.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 77.6% 1.29
Panionios / Asteras Tripolis 65.2% 1.53
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 57.2% 1.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.2
11.4
4.0
0.9
0.1
0.0
1
18.2
13.3
4.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
9.8
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
3.4
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.