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Sunday 27 November 2011, 19:30 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
16% 27% 57%
Home win
16.3%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
56.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 16.3% 6.14
Draw 27.2% 3.68
Olympiakos Piraeus 56.5% 1.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.4% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.6% 8.66
Over 1.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.3% 2.92
Over 2.5 38.3% 2.61
Under 2.5 61.7% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.5% 5.42
Under 3.5 81.5% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.5% 13.39
Under 4.5 92.5% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.9% 2.51
No 60.1% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 43.5% 2.30
Asteras Tripolis / Olympiakos Piraeus 72.8% 1.37
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 83.7% 1.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.6
15.9
12.6
6.4
2.4
0.7
1
6.9
12.2
8.8
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
2.6
4.0
3.1
1.6
0.6
0.2
3
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.